Light Crude x Brent

Como comentei dia 10/06, muito estranha essa diferença nos últimos meses... essa semana o spread ultrapassou US$26,00 ...

Light Crude x Brent = Semanal Linear

Light Crude Oil - II

Semana passada postei sobre o assunto aqui ...

... Fui dar uma espiada no comportamento dessa semana e identifiquei uma "figurinha" muito interessante (que pode estar em franco andamento na periodicidade SEMANAL).

Não opero Light Crude, mas para quem se baliza pela correlação, espero que lhe seja útil !

Veja mais sobre essa configuração aqui

Tenham um bom final de semana !

Ligth Crude Oil

Afinal... Petro arriba por conta da capetalização ?

Crude oil's rise from 72.75 accelerated to as high as 81.75 last week and the development suggests that whole rise from 70.76 is not corrective in nature. In other words, rise from 70.76 is resuming whole rebound from 64.23 and should extend beyond 82.97 resistance. Initial bias is on the upside this week and further rise should be seen to 161.8% projection of 70.76 to 78.04 from 72.75 at 84.53. On the downside, below 79.70 will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained by 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 77.32) and bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rally from 70.76 dampened the immediate bearish view and suggests that rise from 64.23 is still in progress. Nevertheless, we're still favoring the case that medium term rally from 33.2 is already completed at 87.15. Hence, strong resistance should be seen as crude oil enters into resistance zone of 82.97/87.15 and bring reversal. We're still expecting another fall to 60 psychological level (50% retracement of 33.2 to 87.15 at 60.18).

In the long term picture, current development suggests that rebound from 33.2 is finished at 87.15, inside 76.77/90.24 fibo resistance zone as expected. Our view is that fall from 87.15 would develop into the third falling leg of the whole correction from 147.27 and hence, we'd anticipate an eventual break of 33.2 low in the long term as such correction extends.

Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract Daily Chart

Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract Weekly Chart

Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract Monthly Chart

Light Crude (Weekly Basis)

Light Crude -

Gráfico Semanal:

Video clique aqui

Link: http://www.screencast.com/t/I7gLL4ZG

Bom dia !

Nesse estudo abaixo, o gráfico Semanal (LOG) do Petróleo Leve comercializado nos EUA indexa o Brent comercializado em Londres.

Nas últimas semanas, o petróleo em NY em certos momentos cai para valores muito mais baixos que em Londres.

É o que podemos observar graficamente, nesses "picos" de relação, tendo atingido a proporção ABSURDA de 1,40...

Tirem suas próprias conclusões ! (em tempo... no gráfico que postei ontem, a projeção de expansão de queda na periodicidade DIARIA (clique).

Bons negócios !

Crude Oil - Futuros Perpétuos

Gráfico Mensal Indexado ao EURO, com detalhe em zoom ( diario ).

Light Crude - Futures

A regra do Jogo...

Sweet Crude Oil

Crude oil began futures trading on the NYMEX in 1983 and is the most heavily traded commodity.

Trading unit: Crude Oil Futures trade in units of 1,000 U.S. barrels (42,000 gallons). Options: One NYMEX Division light, sweet crude oil futures contract .

Trading Months: Crude Oil Futures trade 30 consecutive months plus long-dated futures initially listed 36, 48, 60, 72, and 84 months prior to delivery. Additionally, trading can be executed at an average differential to the previous day’s settlement prices for periods of two to 30 consecutive months in a single transaction. These calendar strips are executed during open outcry trading hours. Options: 12 consecutive months, plus three long-dated options at 18, 24, and 36 months out on a June/December cycle.

Price Quotation

Crude Oil Futures are quoted in dollars and cents per barrel.

Minimum Price Fluctuation: $0.01 (1¢) per barrel ($10 per contract).

Maximum Daily Price Fluctuation Futures:

Initial limits of $3.00 per barrel are in place in all but the first two months and rise to $6.00 per barrel if the previous day's settlement price in any back month is at the $3.00 limit. In the event of a $7.50 per barrel move in either of the first two contract months, limits on all months become $7.50 per barrel from the limit in place in the direction of the move following a one-hour trading halt.

Options: No price limits.

Last Trading Day Crude Oil Futures:

Trading terminates at the close of business on the third business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the delivery month. If the 25th calendar day of the month is a non-business day, trading shall cease on the third business day prior to the last business day preceding the 25th calendar day. Options: Trading ends three business days before the underlying futures contract.

Delivery F.O.B.

Seller's facility, Cushing, Oklahoma, at any pipeline or storage facility with pipeline access to TEPPCO, Cushing storage, or Equilon Pipeline Co., by in-tank transfer, in-line transfer, book-out, or inter-facility transfer (pumpover).

Delivery Period

All deliveries are rateable over the course of the month and must be initiated on or after the first calendar day and completed by the last calendar day of the delivery month.

Alternate Delivery Procedure (ADP)

An Alternate Delivery Procedure is available to buyers and sellers who have been matched by the Exchange subsequent to the termination of trading in the spot month contract. If buyer and seller agree to consummate delivery under terms different from those prescribed in the contract specifications, they may proceed on that basis after submitting a notice of their intention to the Exchange.

Exchange of Futures for, or in Connection with, Physicals (EFP)

The commercial buyer or seller may exchange a futures position for a physical position of equal quantity by submitting a notice to the Exchange. EFPs may be used to either initiate or liquidate a futures position.

Deliverable Grades

Specific domestic crudes with 0.42% sulfur by weight or less, not less than 37° API gravity nor more than 42° API gravity. The following domestic crude streams are deliverable: West Texas Intermediate, Low Sweet Mix, New Mexican Sweet, North Texas

Sweet, Oklahoma Sweet, South Texas Sweet.

Specific foreign crudes of not less than 34° API nor more than 42° API. The following foreign streams are deliverable: U.K. Brent and Forties, and Norwegian Oseberg Blend, for which the seller shall receive a 30¢-per-barrel discount below the final settlement price; Nigerian Bonny Light and Colombian Cusiana are delivered at 15¢ premiums; and Nigerian Qua Iboe is delivered at a 5¢ premium.

Inspection

Inspection shall be conducted in accordance with pipeline practices. A buyer or seller may appoint an inspector to inspect the quality of oil delivered. However, the buyer or seller who requests the inspection will bear its costs and will notify the other party of the transaction that the inspection will occur.

Position Limits

Any one month/all months: 20,000 net futures, but not to exceed 1,000 in the last three days of trading in the spot month.

Margin Requirements

Margins are required for open futures or short options positions. The margin requirement for an options purchaser will never exceed the premium.

Trading Symbol Futures:

CL Options: LO

Citei no Barômetro...

" E o petróleo, heim ?!? Os futuros no final do dia de ontem deram uma "puxada" violenta... de US$ 74,50 para 76,40. Amanheceu em queda, numa formação próxima a Mastro e Bandeira, operado agora a US$ 75,30. "


3:55 da manhã...


Sabe a quantas andam o Futuro do Petróleo ?

US$ 78,23 x 78,26


Amanhã é amanhã... ou seria daqui a pouco ?


Abcs

Light Crude Oil

Essa é uma postagem da última semana do mês de Julho, onde tem um comentário da performance da Petro e o eventual desenho do Crude Oil por expansões...

Clique aqui



Bem... segue o gráfico atualizado :

Light Crude Oil

Gráfico Semanal - LOG

Percebam o rompimento no IFR e o comportamento do ativo... agora, busquem um comparativo com a performance da Petrobras nesse mesmo período... Interesante, não ???

Apesar da Petrobras ter rompido seu Topo nessas últimas jornadas, idem ao Brent, o Light Crude Oil ainda terá uma resistência pela frente (dada por 100% da projeção da expansão no primeiro momento e tb pelo Topo anterior em segunda estância !)

Light Crude Oil

Os futuros do petróleo em Londres fecharam em alta nesta quarta-feira após notícias de que tropas turcas conduziram operações no norte do Iraque, elevando a tensão no Oriente Médio.

Os preços foram impulsionados também por um relatório do governo dos Estados Unidos, que mostrou que as refinarias do país estão enfrentando dificuldades para aumentar a produção de combustível antes do pico de demanda das férias de verão no hemisfério norte.

A exportação irregular de petróleo e gás no Omã após um ciclone contribuiu para a alta. O Brent avançou US$ 0,57 e encerrou a US$ 71,02 por barril. Nos Estados Unidos, o petróleo teve alta de US$ 0,35 e fechou a US$ 65,06 por barril.

Fonte: INVERTIA

Light Crude Oil

Grafico Diario LOG, onde encontra-se em região de bom suporte dado pela LTA (pontilhada Lilás), cuja perda pode acarretar no reteste da retração de 76,40% = próximos aos US$56,60).

Crude Oil

Os futuros do petróleo superaram US$ 66,00, fechando em seu maior nível desde setembro depois que as autoridades da Arábia Saudita desbarataram um plano terrorista de ataque em massa aos campos petroleiros do país.

A prisão de 172 militantes supostamente envolvidos na conspiração reativaram as preocupações com a segurança dos poços da Arábia Saudita, o maior produtor e exportador de petróleo do mundo.